A+CAI + Creative Growth LabHuman Systems Lab / Richard Leclezio
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04

RESEARCH SERIES / Experimentation

The Bounded Bet

Intelligent risk and faster learning

THE THESIS

The answer is a real move with a named owner, maximum downside, evidence threshold, time boundary and stop condition.

THE CHARTER

The Charter of Intelligent Risk

Move early enough to learn and deliberately enough to survive being wrong.

DUTIES
  • Name the assumption
  • Cap the downside
  • Define evidence and stop conditions before results
RED LINES
  • No pilot without a decision
  • No endless experiment
  • No success metric invented after the result
EXECUTIVE TESTCan we state what we risk, what we expect to learn and exactly when we stop?
PRESSURE-TEST

Put this charter beside another and expose the governance gap.

Compare Charters →Finish this session ↗